Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.3% vs Toews 60.3% (-14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 76.6%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 77.9%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 84.1%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 78.3%
78.3%
21.7%
Rodrigues
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Rodrigues
Toews
Last 6: Rodrigues 1-5 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Rodrigues
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Rodrigues
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Rodrigues
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (637)
62.5% (696)
-14.6%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
59.6% (141)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (67)
46.9% (32)
-9.6%
On even strength, Toews has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Rodrigues shoots right. Toews is 71.8% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Toews
Home
48.3% (429)
60.9% (435)
Away
45.4% (346)
62.0% (434)
By Period
Rodrigues
Toews
P1
48.3%
59.8%
P2
46.9%
65.7%
P3
45.6%
58.8%
OT
44.4%
80.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 14:51 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 22, 2026 | OT | 02:26 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 12:00 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 09:31 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 01:25 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |