Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 49.6% vs Toews 61.9% (-13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 56.1%
Defensive zone
Toews 51.8%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 54.5%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Rodrigues
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Rodrigues
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Rodrigues
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (180)
61.1% (650)
-6.7%
Power Play
32.0% (25)
71.9% (192)
-39.9%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (36)
59.6% (99)
-23.5%
On power play, Toews has a +39.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Rodrigues is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Rodrigues shoots right. Toews is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Toews
Home
47.9% (119)
64.8% (560)
Away
50.8% (122)
60.6% (381)
By Period
Rodrigues
Toews
P1
53.8%
62.3%
P2
51.9%
63.9%
P3
43.2%
62.8%
OT
33.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 19:02 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 13:22 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 13:16 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |