Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.9% vs Toews 58.4% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 83.6%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 81.1%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 85.6%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Rodrigues
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Rodrigues
Toews
Last 7: Rodrigues 1-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
3
Rodrigues
Toews
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
Rodrigues
Toews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (318)
58.0% (901)
-10.8%
Power Play
52.4% (42)
69.5% (226)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
51.7% (209)
-9.4%
On power play, Toews has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Rodrigues shoots right. Toews is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Toews
Home
49.8% (215)
59.3% (637)
Away
44.4% (171)
58.7% (699)
By Period
Rodrigues
Toews
P1
44.2%
61.5%
P2
53.5%
55.2%
P3
44.6%
60.0%
OT
40.0%
70.6%
Final 5 min
51.6%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.4%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2021 | OT | 03:58 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 14:24 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 11:41 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 11:34 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 14:02 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 05:42 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |