Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.9% vs Norris 51.0% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 64.5%
Defensive zone
Norris 54.9%
Neutral zone
Norris 53.7%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Rodrigues
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Rodrigues
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Norris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Norris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (318)
51.2% (886)
-4.0%
Power Play
52.4% (42)
59.0% (83)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
38.8% (67)
+3.5%
On power play, Norris has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Rodrigues shoots right. Norris is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Norris
Home
49.8% (215)
55.6% (487)
Away
44.4% (171)
47.0% (549)
By Period
Rodrigues
Norris
P1
44.2%
54.8%
P2
53.5%
51.3%
P3
44.6%
48.0%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.4%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 12:55 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 17:20 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 16:22 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 00:44 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |