Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 50.0% vs Norris 51.9% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 65.5%
Defensive zone
Norris 62.1%
Neutral zone
Norris 50.4%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Rodrigues
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Rodrigues
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
1
Rodrigues
Norris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (41)
52.2% (542)
-1.0%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
54.4% (57)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
46.7% (30)
+3.3%
On power play, Norris has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (47).
Rodrigues shoots right. Norris is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Norris
Home
45.8% (24)
50.7% (351)
Away
52.9% (34)
54.0% (278)
By Period
Rodrigues
Norris
P1
38.1%
55.6%
P2
52.6%
49.3%
P3
61.1%
52.1%
Final 5 min
33.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
50.0%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 08:40 | Offensive | Josh Norris |