Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.3% vs Norris 49.7% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Rodrigues leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 78.2%
Defensive zone
Norris 63.4%
Neutral zone
Norris 66.6%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Rodrigues
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Rodrigues
Norris
Last 10: Rodrigues 7-3 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
3
1
Rodrigues
Norris
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
5
1
Rodrigues
Norris
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Rodrigues
Norris
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (637)
50.0% (356)
-2.1%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
48.7% (76)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (67)
42.9% (7)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Rodrigues shoots right. Norris is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Norris
Home
48.3% (429)
47.2% (193)
Away
45.4% (346)
51.6% (246)
By Period
Rodrigues
Norris
P1
48.3%
53.8%
P2
46.9%
48.2%
P3
45.6%
47.9%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 16:57 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 11:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 16:58 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 16:49 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 12:07 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 01:54 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 15:05 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 10:21 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 16:35 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |