Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 49.6% vs Draisaitl 54.6% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 86.0%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 78.3%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 84.3%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 86.0%
14.0%
86.0%
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
2
0
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (180)
52.4% (974)
+2.0%
Power Play
32.0% (25)
59.5% (373)
-27.5%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (36)
61.0% (123)
-24.9%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Rodrigues is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Rodrigues shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
Home
47.9% (119)
54.5% (778)
Away
50.8% (122)
55.3% (692)
By Period
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
P1
53.8%
54.6%
P2
51.9%
56.1%
P3
43.2%
53.3%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.7%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 16:56 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |