Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.3% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 79.7%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 92.0%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 84.1%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 86.4%
86.4%
13.6%
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
Last 5: Rodrigues 0-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
2
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
2
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (637)
55.9% (835)
-8.0%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
61.8% (228)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (67)
50.0% (40)
-12.7%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Rodrigues shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
Home
48.3% (429)
55.1% (508)
Away
45.4% (346)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
P1
48.3%
55.8%
P2
46.9%
55.7%
P3
45.6%
59.0%
OT
44.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 08:40 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:55 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 08:35 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:25 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |