Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.3% vs Draisaitl 54.0% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 89.3%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 58.8%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 63.6%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (250)
53.7% (923)
-8.1%
Power Play
40.0% (30)
56.1% (244)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
58.6% (29)
-8.6%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Rodrigues is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Rodrigues shoots right. Draisaitl is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
Home
46.5% (142)
55.2% (636)
Away
43.6% (140)
53.4% (560)
By Period
Rodrigues
Draisaitl
P1
42.9%
50.8%
P2
50.0%
56.6%
P3
42.4%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
67.9%
Final 5 min
45.5%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.0%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 13:14 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:21 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 02:52 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |