Evan Rodrigues vs Mikael Backlund
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 49.6% vs Backlund 50.8% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 57.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 58.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Rodrigues
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Rodrigues
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Rodrigues
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (180)
51.9% (1,083)
+2.5%
Power Play
32.0% (25)
51.7% (120)
-19.7%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (36)
44.3% (183)
-8.2%
On power play, Backlund has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Rodrigues is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Rodrigues shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Backlund
Home
47.9% (119)
51.9% (673)
Away
50.8% (122)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Rodrigues
Backlund
P1
53.8%
51.4%
P2
51.9%
50.5%
P3
43.2%
51.4%
OT
33.3%
35.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 08:38 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |