Evan Rodrigues vs Mikael Backlund
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.3% vs Backlund 48.5% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 59.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 85.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.6%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Rodrigues
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Rodrigues
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
2
1
Rodrigues
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (250)
50.4% (1,032)
-4.8%
Power Play
40.0% (30)
52.3% (107)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
40.6% (313)
+9.4%
On power play, Backlund has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Rodrigues is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Rodrigues shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Backlund
Home
46.5% (142)
48.7% (749)
Away
43.6% (140)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Rodrigues
Backlund
P1
42.9%
50.4%
P2
50.0%
50.1%
P3
42.4%
45.8%
OT
50.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
45.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:28 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |