Evan Rodrigues vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.3% vs Backlund 49.7% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 81.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 60.9%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 64.6%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Rodrigues
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Rodrigues
Backlund
Last 7: Rodrigues 2-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Rodrigues
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
3
Rodrigues
Backlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (637)
50.1% (891)
-2.2%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
53.1% (64)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (67)
47.8% (278)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Rodrigues shoots right. Backlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Backlund
Home
48.3% (429)
48.1% (580)
Away
45.4% (346)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Rodrigues
Backlund
P1
48.3%
45.1%
P2
46.9%
54.7%
P3
45.6%
49.0%
OT
44.4%
46.2%
Final 5 min
50.6%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 13:55 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 17:22 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 03:06 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |