Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.9% vs Colton 51.8% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 54.5%
Defensive zone
Colton 68.8%
Neutral zone
Colton 65.6%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Rodrigues
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Rodrigues
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
2
1
Rodrigues
Colton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (318)
52.7% (524)
-5.5%
Power Play
52.4% (42)
50.9% (53)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
0.0% (4)
+42.3%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +42.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Rodrigues shoots right. Colton is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Colton
Home
49.8% (215)
52.9% (291)
Away
44.4% (171)
51.4% (290)
By Period
Rodrigues
Colton
P1
44.2%
50.6%
P2
53.5%
54.4%
P3
44.6%
51.6%
OT
40.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.4%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 1 | 06:04 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |