Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 46.9%). Look for Colton on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.3% vs Colton 48.5% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 54.5%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 62.7%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 60.9%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Rodrigues
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Rodrigues
Colton
Last 6: Rodrigues 2-4 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Rodrigues
Colton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Colton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
1
3
Rodrigues
Colton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (637)
45.5% (88)
+2.4%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
71.4% (7)
-23.5%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (67)
0.0% (1)
+37.3%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +37.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Rodrigues shoots right. Colton is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (39).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Colton
Home
48.3% (429)
44.7% (47)
Away
45.4% (346)
49.0% (49)
By Period
Rodrigues
Colton
P1
48.3%
52.8%
P2
46.9%
47.1%
P3
45.6%
38.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:40 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:42 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:21 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 01:14 | Neutral | Ross Colton |