Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Colton 51.0% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 59.7%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 56.4%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 57.1%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Rodrigues
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Rodrigues
Colton
Last 9: Rodrigues 4-5 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Rodrigues
Colton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Colton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
1
3
Rodrigues
Colton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,883)
51.6% (1,800)
-5.4%
Power Play
45.0% (298)
48.8% (162)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (219)
34.5% (29)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,422).
Rodrigues shoots right. Colton is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Colton
Home
47.1% (1,820)
51.9% (1,013)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
50.2% (978)
By Period
Rodrigues
Colton
P1
46.9%
53.5%
P2
46.1%
52.6%
P3
44.6%
47.9%
OT
48.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.9%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:40 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:42 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:21 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 01:14 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 1 | 06:04 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |