Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 50.0% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-3.9%)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 50.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 60.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 59.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Rodrigues
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (41)
55.0% (1,084)
-3.8%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
56.8% (303)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
40.3% (149)
+9.7%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (47).
Rodrigues shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
O'Reilly
Home
45.8% (24)
54.8% (759)
Away
52.9% (34)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Rodrigues
O'Reilly
P1
38.1%
55.3%
P2
52.6%
51.9%
P3
61.1%
54.2%
Final 5 min
33.3%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
50.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%