Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.3% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 60.5%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 74.2%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 58.0%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Rodrigues
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Rodrigues
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Rodrigues
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (637)
56.1% (342)
-8.2%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
53.3% (92)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (67)
62.5% (8)
-25.2%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (201).
Rodrigues shoots right. Stamkos is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Stamkos
Home
48.3% (429)
53.4% (208)
Away
45.4% (346)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Rodrigues
Stamkos
P1
48.3%
55.6%
P2
46.9%
52.8%
P3
45.6%
59.1%
OT
44.4%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 18:21 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |