Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 40.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 49.6% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 55.1%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 54.8%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 57.4%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Rodrigues
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Rodrigues
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Rodrigues
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (180)
55.3% (628)
-0.9%
Power Play
32.0% (25)
55.1% (216)
-23.1%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (36)
40.2% (87)
-4.1%
On power play, Stamkos has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Rodrigues is 40.8% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Rodrigues shoots right. Stamkos is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Stamkos
Home
47.9% (119)
55.5% (499)
Away
50.8% (122)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Rodrigues
Stamkos
P1
53.8%
50.7%
P2
51.9%
53.8%
P3
43.2%
55.9%
OT
33.3%
87.5%
Final 5 min
56.7%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 10:06 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |