Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.9% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 51.4%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 66.9%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 62.2%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Rodrigues
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Rodrigues
Stamkos
Last 9: Rodrigues 5-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
3
2
Rodrigues
Stamkos
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Rodrigues
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (318)
49.3% (789)
-2.1%
Power Play
52.4% (42)
56.9% (181)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
54.1% (98)
-11.8%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Rodrigues is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Rodrigues shoots right. Stamkos is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Stamkos
Home
49.8% (215)
52.0% (512)
Away
44.4% (171)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Rodrigues
Stamkos
P1
44.2%
42.1%
P2
53.5%
56.4%
P3
44.6%
53.7%
OT
40.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
51.6%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 14:52 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 14:35 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 11:32 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 00:31 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 1 | 00:48 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 1 | 17:59 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 1 | 11:28 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |