Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 40.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 49.6% vs Thompson 43.8% (+6.3%)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 61.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 56.7%
Neutral zone
Thompson 58.4%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Rodrigues
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (180)
43.3% (735)
+11.1%
Power Play
32.0% (25)
50.0% (26)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (36)
36.5% (52)
-0.4%
On power play, Thompson has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Rodrigues is 40.8% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Rodrigues shoots right. Thompson is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Thompson
Home
47.9% (119)
44.5% (407)
Away
50.8% (122)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Rodrigues
Thompson
P1
53.8%
44.4%
P2
51.9%
44.8%
P3
43.2%
40.2%
OT
33.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
56.7%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%