Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.3% vs Thompson 43.7% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 51.8%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 59.3%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 60.9%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Rodrigues
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Rodrigues
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (250)
41.9% (597)
+3.7%
Power Play
40.0% (30)
50.5% (95)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
25.0% (12)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Rodrigues is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Rodrigues shoots right. Thompson is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Thompson
Home
46.5% (142)
47.1% (367)
Away
43.6% (140)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Rodrigues
Thompson
P1
42.9%
44.2%
P2
50.0%
41.6%
P3
42.4%
42.9%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.0%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%