Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cirelli wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 52.5% vs Malkin 46.1% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 68.6%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 94.9%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 90.8%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 93.5%
93.5%
6.5%
Cirelli
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Cirelli
Malkin
Last 6: Cirelli 5-1 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
4
0
Cirelli
Malkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (748)
46.2% (807)
+6.6%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
30.4% (23)
+29.0%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (171)
33.3% (3)
+18.2%
On power play, Cirelli has a +29.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Cirelli is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Cirelli shoots left. Malkin is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (611).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Malkin
Home
54.5% (466)
45.1% (450)
Away
51.1% (485)
46.4% (384)
By Period
Cirelli
Malkin
P1
48.6%
48.2%
P2
54.8%
43.5%
P3
55.8%
46.0%
OT
41.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.4%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
52.8%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2019 | 2 | 00:51 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 03:30 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 01:28 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 15:26 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 13:11 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |