Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Cizikas wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.4% vs Malkin 46.4% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 88.6%
Defensive zone
Malkin 58.9%
Neutral zone
Malkin 72.1%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 82.8%
17.2%
82.8%
Cizikas
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Cizikas
Malkin
Last 8: Cizikas 3-5 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
4
Cizikas
Malkin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Malkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Cizikas
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (576)
45.5% (602)
+10.9%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
50.0% (30)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
100.0% (1)
-66.7%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Cizikas is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Cizikas shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Malkin
Home
55.4% (303)
47.5% (326)
Away
54.9% (308)
44.0% (307)
By Period
Cizikas
Malkin
P1
53.0%
49.3%
P2
56.0%
44.7%
P3
56.2%
42.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 12:52 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:29 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 12:30 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 14:56 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 14:47 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |