Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.0% vs Bailey 44.3% (+4.5%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 51.2%
Defensive zone
Malkin 57.8%
Neutral zone
Malkin 51.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Malkin
Bailey
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (366)
39.8% (83)
+4.2%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
27.3% (22)
+2.7%
On even strength, Malkin has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Malkin is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Malkin shoots left. Bailey is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Home / Away
Malkin
Bailey
Home
45.5% (202)
33.3% (48)
Away
41.4% (174)
43.5% (62)
By Period
Malkin
Bailey
P1
48.4%
33.3%
P2
41.7%
47.2%
P3
40.4%
39.4%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
43.6%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
39.1%