Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Bailey 45.9% (+7.6%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 52.9%
Defensive zone
Malkin 59.3%
Neutral zone
Bailey 56.8%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Malkin
Bailey
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
41.7% (84)
+7.3%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
28.6% (7)
+27.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
60.0% (5)
-10.0%
On power play, Malkin has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Malkin shoots left. Bailey is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Malkin
Bailey
Home
52.3% (438)
37.9% (58)
Away
46.2% (418)
47.4% (38)
By Period
Malkin
Bailey
P1
51.3%
47.2%
P2
50.8%
41.7%
P3
45.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
36.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
41.7%