Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.8% vs 45.3%). Look for Bailey on defensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Bailey 45.5% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Bailey leads 18-14 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 62.8%
Defensive zone
Bailey 75.6%
Neutral zone
Bailey 56.6%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Malkin
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
18
(32 meetings)
14
18
Malkin
Bailey
Last 10: Malkin 4-6 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
3
Malkin
Bailey
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
3
11
Malkin
Bailey
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
10
4
Malkin
Bailey
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
45.8% (1,991)
-0.2%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
48.1% (295)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
39.9% (281)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Home / Away
Malkin
Bailey
Home
47.6% (5,395)
46.6% (1,353)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
44.0% (1,232)
By Period
Malkin
Bailey
P1
45.9%
46.5%
P2
46.2%
44.8%
P3
45.2%
44.4%
OT
49.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
46.0%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2018 | 3 | 08:12 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 10, 2015 | 3 | 10:46 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Apr 10, 2015 | 2 | 10:54 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Apr 10, 2015 | 2 | 10:44 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 10, 2015 | 1 | 16:27 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Apr 10, 2015 | 1 | 16:14 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 08:47 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 05:59 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 3 | 08:09 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 07:52 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 04:25 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 1 | 06:24 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |