Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.3% vs 45.5%). Malkin wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.8% vs Carlsson 46.0% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 62.9%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 53.8%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 53.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Malkin
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Malkin
Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Carlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (211)
47.1% (533)
-2.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
46.3% (80)
+53.7%
On power play, Malkin has a +53.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Malkin is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Malkin shoots left. Carlsson is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Home / Away
Malkin
Carlsson
Home
51.5% (103)
44.4% (340)
Away
39.4% (109)
46.5% (353)
By Period
Malkin
Carlsson
P1
47.9%
48.2%
P2
47.7%
38.4%
P3
40.0%
50.5%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
34.1%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.3%
Carlsson
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:18 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |