Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Carlsson 42.4% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 73.4%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 52.6%
Neutral zone
Malkin 60.2%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Malkin
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Malkin
Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Carlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Carlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
0
1
Malkin
Carlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
41.8% (648)
+3.7%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
37.3% (51)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
38.7% (31)
+61.3%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +61.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Malkin shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Home / Away
Malkin
Carlsson
Home
47.5% (326)
44.5% (362)
Away
44.0% (307)
38.3% (368)
By Period
Malkin
Carlsson
P1
49.3%
46.3%
P2
44.7%
35.1%
P3
42.3%
43.9%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.5%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.8%
Carlsson
40.0%▼
43.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 05:39 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 05:32 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:12 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |