Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Carlsson 37.1% (+13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 94.7%
Defensive zone
Malkin 62.9%
Neutral zone
Malkin 84.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 86.4%
86.4%
13.6%
Malkin
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Malkin
Carlsson
Last 5: Malkin 4-1 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Carlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
1
Malkin
Carlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
34.4% (535)
+13.5%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
42.9% (21)
+23.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
40.0% (5)
+60.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Malkin shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Malkin
Carlsson
Home
49.6% (405)
38.6% (254)
Away
47.5% (396)
31.6% (307)
By Period
Malkin
Carlsson
P1
49.6%
35.9%
P2
47.2%
33.8%
P3
48.5%
34.3%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.3%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.6%
Carlsson
40.0%▼
43.5%
34.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 14:22 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 04:27 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 06:40 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 07:44 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |