Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Draisaitl 54.6% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 62.5%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 87.8%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 85.5%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 72.0%
28.0%
72.0%
Malkin
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Malkin
Draisaitl
Last 8: Malkin 5-3 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
4
1
Malkin
Draisaitl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
2
Malkin
Draisaitl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
52.4% (974)
-3.4%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
59.5% (373)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
61.0% (123)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Malkin shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Malkin
Draisaitl
Home
52.3% (438)
54.5% (778)
Away
46.2% (418)
55.3% (692)
By Period
Malkin
Draisaitl
P1
51.3%
54.6%
P2
50.8%
56.1%
P3
45.0%
53.3%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 03:56 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 12:54 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 11:25 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 05:48 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 12:49 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 09:14 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 00:48 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |