Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Draisaitl 54.0% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 77.7%
Defensive zone
Malkin 70.2%
Neutral zone
Malkin 72.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Malkin
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Malkin
Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Malkin
Draisaitl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Malkin
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
53.7% (923)
-8.2%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
56.1% (244)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
58.6% (29)
+41.4%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +41.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Malkin shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Home / Away
Malkin
Draisaitl
Home
47.5% (326)
55.2% (636)
Away
44.0% (307)
53.4% (560)
By Period
Malkin
Draisaitl
P1
49.3%
50.8%
P2
44.7%
56.6%
P3
42.3%
54.0%
OT
66.7%
67.9%
Final 5 min
49.5%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 14:37 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |