Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Draisaitl 56.5% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 59.6%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 57.5%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 54.9%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Malkin
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Malkin
Draisaitl
Last 10: Malkin 5-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Draisaitl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
4
Malkin
Draisaitl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
1
Malkin
Draisaitl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
57.4% (1,010)
-9.5%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
56.2% (331)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
54.5% (110)
+45.5%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Malkin shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Home / Away
Malkin
Draisaitl
Home
49.6% (405)
56.4% (734)
Away
47.5% (396)
57.5% (717)
By Period
Malkin
Draisaitl
P1
49.6%
55.6%
P2
47.2%
62.1%
P3
48.5%
52.4%
OT
100.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
48.3%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 15:58 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 09:02 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 04:52 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 11:13 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 06:53 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |