Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs McTavish 43.3% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 90.6%
Defensive zone
McTavish 55.1%
Neutral zone
Malkin 57.1%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Malkin
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Malkin
McTavish
Last 8: Malkin 5-3 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
4
0
Malkin
McTavish
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
3
Malkin
McTavish
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
42.4% (675)
+6.6%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
40.5% (42)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
50.0% (8)
+0.0%
On power play, Malkin has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Malkin shoots left. McTavish is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Malkin
McTavish
Home
52.3% (438)
41.9% (372)
Away
46.2% (418)
42.8% (353)
By Period
Malkin
McTavish
P1
51.3%
47.2%
P2
50.8%
36.2%
P3
45.0%
43.6%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3 | 15:23 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 2 | 10:55 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:41 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 04:36 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 01:25 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |