Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs McTavish 49.0% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 68.6%
Defensive zone
Malkin 61.6%
Neutral zone
Malkin 65.5%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Malkin
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Malkin
McTavish
Last 5: Malkin 0-5 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
3
Malkin
McTavish
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Malkin
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
47.6% (616)
-1.9%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
57.8% (102)
-23.2%
On power play, McTavish has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Malkin shoots left. McTavish is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Malkin
McTavish
Home
50.4% (113)
52.2% (389)
Away
39.4% (132)
45.1% (335)
By Period
Malkin
McTavish
P1
47.7%
50.0%
P2
44.9%
47.9%
P3
40.0%
49.0%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
35.3%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 19:08 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 13:44 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 09:42 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 02:36 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |