Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs McTavish 50.6% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 64.0%
Defensive zone
McTavish 55.9%
Neutral zone
Malkin 55.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Malkin
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Malkin
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
1
Malkin
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
51.1% (769)
-5.6%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
50.6% (178)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
28.6% (14)
+71.4%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Malkin shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Home / Away
Malkin
McTavish
Home
47.5% (326)
52.3% (461)
Away
44.0% (307)
49.2% (500)
By Period
Malkin
McTavish
P1
49.3%
51.5%
P2
44.7%
54.0%
P3
42.3%
47.1%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 06:13 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |