Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 43.6% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.8% vs Zibanejad 51.7% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 71.6%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 66.5%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 55.3%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Malkin
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Malkin
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Malkin
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (211)
53.8% (591)
-8.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
47.4% (38)
+52.6%
On power play, Malkin has a +52.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Malkin is 43.6% vs right-shot opponents (55).
Malkin shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (546).
Home / Away
Malkin
Zibanejad
Home
51.5% (103)
48.2% (307)
Away
39.4% (109)
54.4% (439)
By Period
Malkin
Zibanejad
P1
47.9%
54.0%
P2
47.7%
51.0%
P3
40.0%
50.6%
OT
100.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
34.1%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.3%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 13:18 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:41 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |