Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 49.3%). Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Zibanejad 49.3% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 76.1%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 65.3%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 53.4%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Malkin
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Malkin
Zibanejad
Last 5: Malkin 2-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
3
Malkin
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
50.9% (913)
-3.0%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
59.0% (39)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
37.5% (160)
+62.5%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Malkin is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Malkin shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Malkin
Zibanejad
Home
49.6% (405)
51.1% (536)
Away
47.5% (396)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Malkin
Zibanejad
P1
49.6%
50.1%
P2
47.2%
47.3%
P3
48.5%
50.7%
OT
100.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 11:28 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 13:42 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 11:16 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 12:16 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 11:13 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |