Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 74.1%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 77.2%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 53.2%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Malkin
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Malkin
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Malkin
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
52.9% (870)
-7.4%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
53.5% (43)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
46.2% (143)
+53.8%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Malkin is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Malkin shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Malkin
Zibanejad
Home
47.5% (326)
55.1% (501)
Away
44.0% (307)
49.2% (555)
By Period
Malkin
Zibanejad
P1
49.3%
57.5%
P2
44.7%
50.7%
P3
42.3%
47.9%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.5%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 03:29 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |