Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 49.5%). Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Malkin wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Zibanejad 49.5% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 78.0%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 74.3%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 52.4%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Malkin
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Malkin
Zibanejad
Last 10: Malkin 6-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
1
Malkin
Zibanejad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Malkin
Zibanejad
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Malkin
Zibanejad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
50.1% (1,051)
-1.1%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
58.3% (120)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
41.9% (227)
+8.1%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Malkin is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Malkin shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
Malkin
Zibanejad
Home
52.3% (438)
49.0% (681)
Away
46.2% (418)
49.9% (717)
By Period
Malkin
Zibanejad
P1
51.3%
49.9%
P2
50.8%
47.6%
P3
45.0%
51.1%
OT
0.0%
48.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
49.3%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 18:02 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 04:18 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 04:11 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 08:40 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 06:18 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 18:09 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 13:43 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 01:23 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 01:17 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 05:02 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:22 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |