Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Malkin wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 44.3% vs Zibanejad 50.8% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 79.5%
Defensive zone
Malkin 72.9%
Neutral zone
Malkin 74.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
Malkin
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Malkin
Zibanejad
Last 8: Malkin 2-6 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Malkin
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
4
Malkin
Zibanejad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (1,028)
52.7% (938)
-9.1%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
49.3% (225)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
39.5% (124)
-39.5%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +39.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Malkin is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Malkin shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Malkin
Zibanejad
Home
44.2% (489)
54.9% (594)
Away
43.3% (563)
47.3% (693)
By Period
Malkin
Zibanejad
P1
40.9%
50.1%
P2
42.2%
49.0%
P3
48.5%
53.0%
OT
40.0%
52.2%
Final 5 min
46.7%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.7%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 2 | 13:15 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 1 | 11:54 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 17, 2017 | OT | 00:51 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 09:11 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 01:00 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |