Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.0% vs Backlund 50.5% (-6.9%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 70.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 74.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 55.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Malkin
Backlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (366)
51.5% (983)
-7.5%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
49.4% (87)
-19.4%
On power play, Backlund has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Malkin is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Malkin shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Malkin
Backlund
Home
45.5% (202)
51.6% (653)
Away
41.4% (174)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Malkin
Backlund
P1
48.4%
50.0%
P2
41.7%
49.8%
P3
40.4%
51.7%
OT
50.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
42.7%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.6%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%