Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Backlund 48.5% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 80.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 81.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 51.1%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Malkin
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Malkin
Backlund
Last 6: Malkin 3-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Malkin
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
50.4% (1,032)
-4.9%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
52.3% (107)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
40.6% (313)
+59.4%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +59.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Malkin shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Malkin
Backlund
Home
47.5% (326)
48.7% (749)
Away
44.0% (307)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Malkin
Backlund
P1
49.3%
50.4%
P2
44.7%
50.1%
P3
42.3%
45.8%
OT
66.7%
30.8%
Final 5 min
49.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2024 | OT | 02:48 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 10:25 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 14:51 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |