Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Backlund 50.8% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 86.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 56.2%
Neutral zone
Malkin 58.6%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Malkin
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Malkin
Backlund
Last 8: Malkin 1-7 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Malkin
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
Malkin
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
3
Malkin
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
51.9% (1,083)
-2.9%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
51.7% (120)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
44.3% (183)
+5.7%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Malkin shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Malkin
Backlund
Home
52.3% (438)
51.9% (673)
Away
46.2% (418)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Malkin
Backlund
P1
51.3%
51.4%
P2
50.8%
50.5%
P3
45.0%
51.4%
OT
0.0%
35.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 08:37 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 04:51 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 10:08 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 03:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 01:25 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 14:39 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |