Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.0% vs Granlund 47.4% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 58.7%
Defensive zone
Granlund 83.2%
Neutral zone
Granlund 69.8%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Malkin
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Malkin
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Granlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Granlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (366)
47.7% (1,001)
-3.7%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
53.4% (73)
-23.4%
On power play, Granlund has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Malkin is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Malkin shoots left. Granlund is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (738).
Home / Away
Malkin
Granlund
Home
45.5% (202)
45.9% (582)
Away
41.4% (174)
48.4% (624)
By Period
Malkin
Granlund
P1
48.4%
48.6%
P2
41.7%
46.7%
P3
40.4%
46.9%
OT
50.0%
31.3%
Final 5 min
42.7%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.6%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 08:53 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 18:49 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 05:01 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 12:19 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |