Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Granlund 47.0% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 82.3%
Defensive zone
Granlund 73.3%
Neutral zone
Granlund 54.0%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Malkin
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Malkin
Granlund
Last 5: Malkin 4-1 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Malkin
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Granlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
0
Malkin
Granlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
46.7% (885)
+1.2%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
44.9% (69)
+21.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
49.0% (98)
+51.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +51.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Malkin shoots left. Granlund is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Home / Away
Malkin
Granlund
Home
49.6% (405)
51.1% (495)
Away
47.5% (396)
42.9% (557)
By Period
Malkin
Granlund
P1
49.6%
49.9%
P2
47.2%
46.4%
P3
48.5%
44.3%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 19:53 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 11:53 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 01:10 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 01:02 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |