Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Granlund 49.6% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 60.8%
Defensive zone
Granlund 84.1%
Neutral zone
Granlund 59.0%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Malkin
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Malkin
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Granlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Malkin
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
49.5% (588)
-4.0%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
60.5% (43)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
45.2% (93)
+54.8%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +54.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Malkin shoots left. Granlund is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Malkin
Granlund
Home
47.5% (326)
54.8% (305)
Away
44.0% (307)
45.8% (419)
By Period
Malkin
Granlund
P1
49.3%
43.8%
P2
44.7%
51.2%
P3
42.3%
53.9%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 19:34 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 12:41 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 04:19 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |