Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Malkin wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.0% vs Frost 48.7% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 70.6%
Defensive zone
Frost 89.7%
Neutral zone
Frost 80.5%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 74.4%
25.6%
74.4%
Malkin
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Malkin
Frost
Last 5: Malkin 5-0 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
4
0
Malkin
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (366)
47.4% (426)
-3.4%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
63.9% (36)
-33.9%
On power play, Frost has a +33.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Malkin is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Malkin shoots left. Frost is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Malkin
Frost
Home
45.5% (202)
51.1% (221)
Away
41.4% (174)
45.9% (246)
By Period
Malkin
Frost
P1
48.4%
47.5%
P2
41.7%
52.3%
P3
40.4%
44.7%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.6%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 05:25 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 13:01 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 04:25 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |