Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Frost 51.1% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 75.7%
Defensive zone
Frost 69.7%
Neutral zone
Frost 65.7%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 69.7%
30.3%
69.7%
Malkin
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Malkin
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
50.3% (825)
-4.8%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
54.9% (204)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (4)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Malkin shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Malkin
Frost
Home
47.5% (326)
50.7% (489)
Away
44.0% (307)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Malkin
Frost
P1
49.3%
53.6%
P2
44.7%
47.8%
P3
42.3%
52.0%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.5%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |