Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 49.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Frost 49.5% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 50.5%
Defensive zone
Frost 59.4%
Neutral zone
Frost 57.9%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Malkin
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Malkin
Frost
Last 7: Malkin 4-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Malkin
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Malkin
Frost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
48.6% (704)
-0.7%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
55.7% (115)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
25.0% (4)
+75.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Malkin shoots left. Frost is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Malkin
Frost
Home
49.6% (405)
49.9% (399)
Away
47.5% (396)
49.1% (424)
By Period
Malkin
Frost
P1
49.6%
51.2%
P2
47.2%
53.9%
P3
48.5%
42.7%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 19:03 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 15:28 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 2 | 04:05 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 01:11 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 09:46 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 01:50 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 15:22 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |