Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Geekie 44.9% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 81.8%
Defensive zone
Geekie 56.0%
Neutral zone
Malkin 59.5%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Malkin
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Malkin
Geekie
Last 10: Malkin 7-3 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
4
2
Malkin
Geekie
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Malkin
Geekie
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
5
1
Malkin
Geekie
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
43.7% (584)
+4.2%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
47.1% (68)
+19.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (8)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Malkin is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Malkin shoots left. Geekie is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Malkin
Geekie
Home
49.6% (405)
45.3% (329)
Away
47.5% (396)
42.9% (331)
By Period
Malkin
Geekie
P1
49.6%
41.2%
P2
47.2%
45.0%
P3
48.5%
46.2%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 01:21 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 01:05 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 11:35 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 08:07 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 12:11 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 00:37 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 15:58 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 06:17 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 00:41 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |